Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -600 UL +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +3 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -14.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -11.0 (-8.0) | 134.6 (-21.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -11.0 (-8.0) | 131.6 (-18.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -10.9 (-7.9) | 134.2 (-21.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.2 (-8.2) | 133.2 (-20.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-0 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.9 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 19.0 (#4) | 5.0 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#23) | 1.38 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#21) | 1.66 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#17) | 0.582 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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