(1)
Alabama
Crimson Tide
96
–
75
FINAL
Neutral
NCAA Tournament
(16)
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Islanders
Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -25.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | ALA -7000 AMCC +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +21 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -21.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -20.4 (+0.6) | 154.4 (+16.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ALA -20.7 (+0.3) | 157.9 (+13.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ALA -20.0 (+1.0) | 154.8 (+16.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -21.6 (-0.6) | 152.7 (+18.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-0 | 13-2 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 21.0 (#1) | -0.6 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.57 (#1) | 0.02 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.11 (#2) | -0.12 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.664 (#1) | 0.517 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 44.4 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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