Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | KU -10000 HOW +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +28 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | KU -19.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -14.6 (+13.4) | 143.3 (+20.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -15.7 (+12.3) | 142.4 (+21.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -15.1 (+12.9) | 143.4 (+20.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -15.6 (+12.4) | 142.1 (+21.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | KU 87 – 57 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-3 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 16.4 (#9) | -2.6 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#3) | 0.11 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.99 (#5) | -0.24 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#2) | 0.514 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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