Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MD +110 WVU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -1.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -1.1 (+3.1) | 139.7 (-7.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -0.7 (+2.7) | 137.7 (-5.7) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -1.7 (+3.7) | 138.5 (-6.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -1.4 (+3.4) | 141.0 (-9.0) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#28) | 13.5 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#44) | 2.09 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#35) | 2.80 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#47) | 0.571 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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