Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -450 UCI +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +26 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -8.4 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -7.6 (+18.4) | 141.5 (+0.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -8.2 (+17.8) | 140.2 (+1.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -8.3 (+17.7) | 141.6 (+0.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -8.4 (+17.6) | 141.6 (+0.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | UCI 69 – 56 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#46) | 5.3 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#73) | 0.64 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#69) | 0.89 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#67) | 0.533 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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