Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU +138 SCU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +2 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -1.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -2.3 (-0.3) | 136.8 (-22.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -1.3 (+0.7) | 133.7 (-19.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -2.2 (-0.2) | 137.4 (-23.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -2.4 (-0.4) | 137.3 (-23.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-5 |
| Home | 12-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 10-6 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.7 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#69) | 6.8 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#55) | 1.56 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#68) | 1.98 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#52) | 0.559 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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