Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -225 VT +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +9 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -6.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -6.4 (+2.6) | 149.0 (+4.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -5.5 (+3.5) | 147.3 (+5.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -6.2 (+2.8) | 150.0 (+3.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -6.6 (+2.4) | 150.7 (+2.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 16-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#51) | 7.2 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#80) | 1.24 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#78) | 1.59 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#98) | 0.538 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.