Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | NAVY -135 HARV +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | NAVY -20.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -7.5 (-2.5) | 138.8 (+26.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -6.3 (-1.3) | 142.3 (+22.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#88) | -1.1 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#202) | 0.38 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#176) | 0.50 (#104) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 62.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 41.2% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.3% | 69.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 13.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 83.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 47.8% | 9.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.