Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -3000 HOW +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +15 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -23.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -9.4 (+5.6) | 144.2 (-5.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -12.1 (+2.9) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | MIZ 88 – 67 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 18-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.6 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 80.7 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#93) | -4.5 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#200) | -0.38 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#179) | -0.55 (#215) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 8.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 60.6% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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