Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -20000 NJIT +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +37 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -20.6 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -17.5 (+19.5) | 136.5 (+6.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -20.0 (+17.0) | 137.4 (+5.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -16.7 (+20.3) | 135.6 (+7.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -18.0 (+19.0) | 134.3 (+8.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 3-13 |
| Home | 9-9 | 4-9 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#118) | -13.8 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#96) | -2.92 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#99) | -3.57 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#101) | 0.330 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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