Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +22 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | OU -27.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -28.6 (-6.6) | 162.2 (-6.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -25.1 (-3.1) | 161.5 (-5.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -24.0 (-2.0) | 159.2 (-3.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -26.9 (-4.9) | 158.8 (-2.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 3-7 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 82.2 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#48) | -11.6 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.09 (#5) | -3.09 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.46 (#6) | -4.17 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#36) | 0.406 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 55.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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