Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -10000 WEB +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +40 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -22.7 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -19.4 (+20.6) | 142.8 (-4.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -16.8 (+23.2) | 144.9 (-6.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -19.2 (+20.8) | 143.8 (-5.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -20.2 (+19.8) | 143.8 (-5.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#27) | -3.4 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#6) | -0.95 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.42 (#7) | -1.16 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.698 (#3) | 0.451 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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