Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -175 AUB +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -5.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -5.8 (-2.8) | 141.6 (+15.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -4.2 (-1.2) | 140.7 (+16.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -6.2 (-3.2) | 142.1 (+14.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -5.8 (-2.8) | 141.2 (+15.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#21) | 11.5 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#48) | 2.30 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#28) | 2.59 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#45) | 0.628 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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