Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
Schar Center · December 29, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ELON -4.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money ELON -210 / MRSH +175
Model Predictions
Spread Total ELON win
Actual ELON +14 132 Won
Massey ELON -9.7 (+4.3)
Massey Totals 142.3 (-10.3)
Bradley-Terry 87%
Weighted B-T 92%
Baseline Plus ML ELON -9.1 (+4.9) 140.6 (-8.6) 79%
Model 4 ML ELON -6.4 (+7.6) 141.8 (-9.8) 73%
Model 3 ML ELON -9.1 (+4.9) 139.8 (-7.8) 80%
Baseline ML ELON -8.8 (+5.2) 140.9 (-8.9) 80%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2025 MRSH 9689 ELON

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ELON MRSH
Overall 17-16 20-13
Conference 8-10 12-6
Home 10-4 14-3
Away 6-9 5-9
Neutral 1-3 1-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 71.5 74.7
Avg Pts Against 70.9 72.5
Massey 2.7 (#117) -2.8 (#212)
Bradley-Terry 0.24 (#150) -0.88 (#252)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.44 (#140) -1.19 (#254)
RPI 0.494 (#184) 0.443 (#278)
Shooting & Four Factors ELON MRSH
FG% 43.9% 43.7%
3PT% 33.8% 28.5%
REB / G 41.0 35.8
OREB / G 12.6 11.1
AST / TO 1.02 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 49.8%
TOV% 19.2% 16.8%
ORB% 37.1% 29.7%
FT Rate 28.1% 27.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.5% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 12.4% 18.3%
DRB% 71.0% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 15.4% 33.9%

Game Analysis

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