With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
Nebraska Cornhuskers
78 66
FINAL Neutral Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Oregon State Beavers
Stan Sheriff Center (Neutral) · December 26, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread NEB -5.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money NEB -230 / ORST +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual NEB +12 144 Won
Massey ORST -0.8 (+12.8)
Massey Totals 131.7 (+12.3)
Bradley-Terry 55%
Weighted B-T 57%
Baseline Plus ML NEB -1.4 (+10.6) 134.5 (+9.5) 59%
Baseline ML NEB -1.6 (+10.4) 135.6 (+8.4) 57%
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -1.9 (+10.1) 134.4 (+9.6) 58%
Efficiency Plus ML NEB -1.2 (+10.8) 134.1 (+9.9) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 18, 2023 NEB 8463 ORST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB ORST
Overall 21-14 20-13
Conference 7-13 10-8
Home 10-6 15-3
Away 5-7 3-7
Neutral 6-1 2-3
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak W4 L4
Avg Pts For 76.0 75.7
Avg Pts Against 72.6 69.3
Massey 10.8 (#51) 11.5 (#46)
Bradley-Terry 2.37 (#37) 2.17 (#49)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.29 (#39) 3.02 (#46)
RPI 0.624 (#24) 0.571 (#67)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB ORST
FG% 46.6% 47.5%
3PT% 32.8% 37.7%
REB / G 36.4 36.7
OREB / G 9.4 10.3
AST / TO 1.10 1.26
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 54.7%
TOV% 16.8% 18.7%
ORB% 28.3% 34.3%
FT Rate 30.4% 27.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 44.1%
Opp TOV% 21.1% 19.6%
DRB% 72.1% 73.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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