Hawai'i
Rainbow Warriors
73
–
70
OT
FINAL
Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Oakland
Golden Grizzlies
Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | HAW -185 OAK +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -5.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -5.3 (-2.3) | 134.9 (+8.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -5.5 (-2.5) | 135.7 (+7.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -5.6 (-2.6) | 135.1 (+7.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -4.1 (-1.1) | 134.3 (+8.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#175) | -2.7 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#195) | -0.13 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#186) | -0.30 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#207) | 0.521 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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