Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Thomas M. Ryan Center · November 9, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread URI -20.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money URI -3000 / HC +1200
Model Predictions
Spread Total URI win
Actual URI +14 168 Won
Massey URI -27.0 (-13.0)
Massey Totals 150.0 (+18.0)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 99%
Baseline ML URI -24.5 (-10.5) 145.6 (+22.4) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML URI -19.2 (-5.2) 148.0 (+20.0) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings URI HC
Overall 18-13 13-19
Conference 7-11 5-13
Home 14-3 7-6
Away 1-9 4-13
Neutral 3-1 2-0
Last 5 1-0 0-1
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 77.1 68.6
Avg Pts Against 75.2 73.7
Massey 7.2 (#34) -3.4 (#210)
Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#109) -0.31 (#159)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.56 (#70) -0.44 (#172)
RPI
Shooting & Four Factors URI HC
FG% 53.8% 43.4%
3PT% 54.5% 37.5%
REB / G 48.0 21.0
OREB / G 8.0 3.0
AST / TO 1.27 0.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 59.6% 51.9%
TOV% 14.8% 19.6%
ORB% 28.6% 9.7%
FT Rate 65.4% 11.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 30.0% 58.5%
Opp TOV% 13.0% 16.3%
DRB% 71.4% 64.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 27.1%

Game Analysis

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