Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -270 UIC +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +11 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -9.8 (-20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -7.3 (-18.3) | 146.6 (+0.4) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -7.5 (-18.5) | 148.0 (-1.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -7.1 (-18.1) | 147.8 (-0.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -7.6 (-18.6) | 143.8 (+3.2) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#132) | -3.6 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#204) | -0.09 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#163) | -0.31 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#168) | 0.507 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.5% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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