Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -7500 MRMK +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -17.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -15.6 (-10.6) | 131.7 (+9.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -14.9 (-9.9) | 131.0 (+10.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -13.7 (-8.7) | 132.3 (+8.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -18.9 (-13.9) | 134.0 (+7.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 14-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-1 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.8 | 64.2 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#52) | -2.6 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#38) | -0.04 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.49 (#30) | -0.10 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#16) | 0.508 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.1 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 40.7% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.