Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | UTU +130 SDAK -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +5 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -2.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -0.3 (+5.3) | 158.1 (+20.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -1.6 (+6.6) | 159.3 (+19.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -0.9 (+5.9) | 155.6 (+23.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -0.3 (+5.3) | 157.2 (+21.8) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | UTU 81 – 79 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 9-7 |
| Home | 5-8 | 14-2 |
| Away | 0-16 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 86.6 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#292) | -0.7 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#335) | 0.05 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#335) | -0.48 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#325) | 0.499 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 61.9% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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