Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -1800 BELL +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +37 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -13.5 (+23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -12.4 (+24.6) | 140.1 (+6.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -11.9 (+25.1) | 142.5 (+4.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -11.1 (+25.9) | 143.6 (+3.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -12.2 (+24.8) | 139.3 (+7.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 2-16 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-10 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#204) | -11.6 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#234) | -3.45 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#233) | -4.34 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#216) | 0.305 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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