Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -33.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +36 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -29.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -30.8 (+5.2) | 150.4 (+9.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -28.6 (+7.4) | 149.8 (+10.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -26.0 (+10.0) | 149.4 (+10.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -26.6 (+9.4) | 151.9 (+8.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 2-18 |
| Home | 11-7 | 0-11 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 82.5 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#34) | -11.4 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#76) | -1.17 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#73) | -1.68 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#129) | 0.443 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 62.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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