Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | USC -800 CSUN +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +21 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | USC -3.4 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -4.9 (+16.1) | 150.0 (+9.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -3.9 (+17.1) | 147.1 (+11.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -4.3 (+16.7) | 145.8 (+13.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -4.3 (+16.7) | 146.9 (+12.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | USC 89 – 49 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#100) | 5.1 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#120) | 0.96 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#97) | 0.97 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#119) | 0.502 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 35.5% |
Game Analysis
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