Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UCD -275 IDHO +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UCD -9.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -8.1 (-0.1) | 140.3 (-0.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -8.3 (-0.3) | 141.0 (-1.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -8.1 (-0.1) | 140.7 (-0.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -9.3 (-1.3) | 140.8 (-0.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | UCD 79 – 75 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#177) | -6.5 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#112) | -0.83 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#141) | -0.96 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#104) | 0.468 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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