Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Monmouth Hawks
74 103
FINAL Neutral Jersey Jam
Temple Owls
CURE Insurance Arena (Neutral) · November 8, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TEM -6.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money MONM +220 / TEM -270
Model Predictions
Spread Total MONM win
Actual TEM +29 177 Lost
Massey MONM -2.8 (-31.8)
Massey Totals 158.6 (+18.4)
Bradley-Terry 36%
Weighted B-T 32%
Baseline ML TEM -0.1 (-28.9) 138.6 (+38.4) 42%
Baseline Tuned ML TEM -1.1 (-27.9) 144.0 (+33.0) 52%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MONM TEM
Overall 13-20 17-15
Conference 10-8 9-9
Home 8-2 12-2
Away 4-14 3-9
Neutral 1-4 2-4
Last 5 0-1 1-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.3 77.7
Avg Pts Against 75.4 77.6
Massey -2.1 (#166) -4.8 (#223)
Bradley-Terry -0.31 (#202) 0.26 (#133)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.44 (#202) 0.31 (#136)
RPI
Shooting & Four Factors MONM TEM
FG% 27.9% 49.1%
3PT% 29.6% 47.8%
REB / G 31.0 34.0
OREB / G 11.0 7.0
AST / TO 0.60 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 34.4% 59.1%
TOV% 20.7% 21.4%
ORB% 25.0% 21.9%
FT Rate 24.6% 29.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 46.3%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 21.6%
DRB% 57.1% 64.3%
Opp FT Rate 29.5% 10.3%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.