Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -7500 TAR +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -21.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -17.3 (-12.3) | 138.7 (-11.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -17.1 (-12.1) | 137.5 (-10.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -15.6 (-10.6) | 138.4 (-11.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -14.4 (-9.4) | 137.6 (-10.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 60.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#105) | -13.4 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#104) | -1.60 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#101) | -2.89 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#102) | 0.460 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 27.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 30.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.