Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -340 WOF +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -1.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -2.3 (-5.3) | 144.3 (+0.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.5 (-5.5) | 145.2 (-0.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -2.8 (-5.8) | 144.1 (+0.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -1.2 (-4.2) | 142.9 (+2.1) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#223) | -0.3 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#161) | -0.59 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#156) | -0.15 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#191) | 0.472 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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