Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +230 SCU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +4 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -6.9 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+36.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -4.5 (+0.5) | 139.2 (+34.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -5.0 (+1.0) | 136.4 (+37.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -4.2 (+0.2) | 137.8 (+36.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -4.4 (+0.4) | 139.4 (+34.6) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 1-8 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#254) | 2.4 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#250) | 0.81 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#254) | 1.31 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#229) | 0.606 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 42.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 82.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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