Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | BGSU -110 QUC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +6 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -1.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -1.1 (-7.1) | 143.3 (-5.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -1.7 (-4.3) | 140.1 (-2.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -1.1 (-7.1) | 144.0 (-6.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -0.9 (-6.9) | 145.7 (-7.7) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#272) | 0.0 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#260) | -0.03 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#266) | -0.90 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#225) | 0.496 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 78.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.