Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -188 JKST +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +17 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -2.6 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -3.4 (+13.6) | 148.5 (+24.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -2.3 (+14.7) | 147.8 (+25.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -3.3 (+13.7) | 146.1 (+26.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -2.8 (+14.2) | 147.9 (+25.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-9 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#320) | -5.1 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#346) | -2.85 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.58 (#345) | -4.59 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#302) | 0.308 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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