Betting Lines
| Spread | AMER -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | AMER -175 UALB +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +26 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | AMER -16.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMER -11.3 (+14.7) | 136.2 (+13.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMER -12.0 (+14.0) | 137.9 (+12.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMER -11.7 (+14.3) | 137.6 (+12.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMER -9.0 (+17.0) | 133.9 (+16.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | AMER 81 – 77 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMER | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-6 |
| Away | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#173) | -9.1 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#133) | -2.54 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#177) | -4.29 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#163) | 0.380 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMER | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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