Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ECU -1600 SCST +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | ECU -19.5 (-24.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -14.4 (-19.4) | 153.3 (-12.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -15.0 (-20.0) | 152.2 (-11.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -13.8 (-18.8) | 152.9 (-11.9) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -14.1 (-19.1) | 152.5 (-11.5) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | ECU 70 – 62 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 4-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 84.7 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#198) | -13.9 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#139) | -2.06 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#140) | -2.96 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#182) | 0.384 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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