Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU -155 ELON +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +26 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -0.0 (+26.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -2.3 (+23.7) | 135.9 (+6.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -1.9 (+24.1) | 137.6 (+4.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -2.1 (+23.9) | 137.5 (+4.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -4.5 (+21.5) | 136.3 (+5.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | ELON 79 – 76 ETSU |
| Nov 12, 2022 | ETSU 77 – 64 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#145) | 5.1 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#204) | 0.28 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#177) | 0.72 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#227) | 0.489 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
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