Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -170 UALB +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +8 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -5.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -3.4 (-11.4) | 149.0 (-9.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -4.4 (-12.4) | 150.5 (-10.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -4.3 (-12.3) | 149.2 (-9.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -3.2 (-11.2) | 145.1 (-5.1) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2023 | UALB 93 – 79 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#225) | -4.5 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#217) | -0.48 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#216) | -0.63 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#267) | 0.474 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 27.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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