Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | CP -550 DEN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +1 | 189 | Won |
| Massey | CP -13.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -10.1 (-9.1) | 157.3 (+31.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -11.6 (-10.6) | 156.4 (+32.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -10.7 (-9.7) | 153.9 (+35.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -9.3 (-8.3) | 156.3 (+32.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | DEN 97 – 76 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#153) | -9.2 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#164) | -1.45 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#174) | -3.32 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#152) | 0.385 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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