Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -20000 STET +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +46 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -26.4 (+19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -27.3 (+18.7) | 151.4 (+0.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -26.4 (+19.6) | 150.9 (+1.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -21.6 (+24.4) | 150.4 (+1.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -22.0 (+24.0) | 155.9 (-3.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 81.9 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#67) | -13.3 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#41) | -4.64 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#45) | -6.64 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#39) | 0.313 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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