Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -20000 MORE +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +27 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -39.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -33.6 (-6.6) | 145.4 (-6.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -25.8 (+1.2) | 145.8 (-6.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#6) | -10.5 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#71) | -0.38 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#60) | -0.58 (#233) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 58.3% | 23.1% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 14.3% |
| REB / G | 48.0 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 3.00 | 0.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 66.7% | 26.0% |
| TOV% | 12.0% | 28.4% |
| ORB% | 50.0% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 6.6% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.