Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CSU -1000 RAD +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -6.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -5.8 (+4.2) | 140.7 (+5.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -4.9 (+5.1) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -5.2 (+4.8) | 139.8 (+6.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -6.5 (+3.5) | 139.5 (+6.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 9-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#138) | -0.6 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#161) | 1.56 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#145) | 1.83 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#179) | 0.554 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.