Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -300 SEA +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +13 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -5.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -7.7 (+5.3) | 144.0 (+15.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -7.4 (+5.6) | 146.5 (+12.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -6.8 (+6.2) | 145.6 (+13.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -4.3 (+8.7) | 145.7 (+13.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#106) | 2.6 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#111) | -0.30 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#97) | 0.04 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#108) | 0.494 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 33.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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