Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -1400 KC +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +10 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -15.8 (-25.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -12.7 (-22.7) | 145.6 (-7.6) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -13.0 (-23.0) | 144.2 (-6.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -11.8 (-21.8) | 143.7 (-5.7) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -11.0 (-21.0) | 146.0 (-8.0) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#105) | -7.6 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#48) | -1.80 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#60) | -2.42 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#40) | 0.384 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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