I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
UPMC Events Center · December 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TOW -1.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money RMU +110 / TOW -130
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +1 135 Won
Massey RMU -6.1 (-5.1)
Massey Totals 127.4 (+7.6)
Bradley-Terry 82%
Weighted B-T 88%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -5.9 (-4.9) 135.2 (-0.2) 69%
Baseline ML RMU -5.1 (-4.1) 132.4 (+2.6) 66%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -4.6 (-3.6) 132.7 (+2.3) 67%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -3.8 (-2.8) 133.8 (+1.2) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2023 TOW 6662 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU TOW
Overall 26-9 22-11
Conference 15-5 16-2
Home 16-2 12-1
Away 8-6 9-5
Neutral 2-1 1-5
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.9 69.4
Avg Pts Against 71.6 67.7
Massey -3.9 (#234) -5.7 (#271)
Bradley-Terry -0.47 (#216) -1.17 (#275)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.74 (#220) -1.90 (#291)
RPI 0.460 (#247) 0.488 (#199)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU TOW
FG% 39.5% 36.9%
3PT% 29.3% 27.6%
REB / G 38.7 35.9
OREB / G 12.3 13.5
AST / TO 0.89 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.9% 41.8%
TOV% 19.6% 14.9%
ORB% 31.9% 33.9%
FT Rate 27.3% 19.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 17.0%
DRB% 79.3% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 25.8%

Game Analysis

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