Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -170 GWEB +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +5 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -1.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -3.2 (+1.8) | 148.9 (+18.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GASO -1.4 (+3.6) | 146.8 (+20.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GASO -2.7 (+2.3) | 147.9 (+19.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -2.8 (+2.2) | 149.0 (+18.0) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | GASO 88 – 84 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#252) | -1.7 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#158) | -0.71 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#203) | -0.78 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#139) | 0.485 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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