Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | DAY -800 UNLV +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -15.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -15.4 (-14.4) | 142.0 (-11.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -14.5 (-13.5) | 142.8 (-11.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -14.0 (-13.0) | 143.1 (-12.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -12.4 (-11.4) | 139.6 (-8.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | UNLV 60 – 52 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#40) | 1.2 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#30) | 0.33 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.71 (#12) | 0.63 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#47) | 0.511 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 2.05 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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