Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -33.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +36 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -33.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+33.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -34.9 (+1.1) | 153.2 (+32.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -33.5 (+2.5) | 146.8 (+39.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -25.8 (+10.2) | 153.1 (+32.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -28.0 (+8.0) | 153.6 (+32.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 3-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 82.2 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#14) | -11.8 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#23) | -3.15 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#46) | -4.27 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#29) | 0.370 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 27.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 60.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 56.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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