Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -20000 SOU +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -20.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -21.1 (-8.1) | 145.6 (-10.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -20.2 (-7.2) | 144.4 (-9.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -20.1 (-7.1) | 144.9 (-9.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -19.8 (-6.8) | 146.4 (-11.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#21) | -0.8 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#27) | -0.01 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.55 (#14) | -0.26 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#56) | 0.533 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.99 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 11.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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