Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -36.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +48 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -39.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -36.8 (+11.2) | 137.1 (-17.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -33.0 (+15.0) | 136.5 (-16.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -25.6 (+22.4) | 137.2 (-17.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -24.5 (+23.5) | 137.5 (-17.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 23.2 (#4) | -11.9 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.47 (#2) | -3.08 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.44 (#1) | -4.24 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.654 (#13) | 0.378 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 40.3% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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