Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -163 CREI +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -1.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -1.7 (+5.3) | 142.1 (+14.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -1.8 (+5.2) | 144.9 (+12.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -2.6 (+4.4) | 144.3 (+12.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -2.0 (+5.0) | 143.5 (+13.5) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-3 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 19.4 (#7) | 17.6 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#5) | 2.48 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#5) | 3.20 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#4) | 0.599 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 11.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 12.3% |
Game Analysis
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