Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -450 UGA +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -8.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -7.9 (-9.9) | 148.4 (+7.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -6.6 (-8.6) | 145.1 (+10.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -7.6 (-9.6) | 146.8 (+9.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -6.9 (-8.9) | 148.1 (+7.9) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-5 | 13-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#46) | 6.6 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#55) | 1.27 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#49) | 1.55 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#63) | 0.534 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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