Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +550 SEA -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +13 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -11.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -10.2 (-2.8) | 136.8 (+8.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -8.8 (-4.2) | 135.1 (+9.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -8.5 (-4.5) | 134.7 (+10.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -8.9 (-4.1) | 137.8 (+7.2) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#301) | 3.5 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#301) | 0.25 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#288) | 0.58 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#296) | 0.508 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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