Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -29.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -50000 CARK +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +35 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -28.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -25.3 (+9.7) | 144.3 (+16.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -20.1 (+14.9) | 147.8 (+13.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-9 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#70) | -6.7 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#134) | -0.31 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#111) | -0.46 (#225) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.1% | 33.9% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 22.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.90 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 72.8% | 40.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 26.0% |
| ORB% | 42.9% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 8.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.1% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 9.7% |
Game Analysis
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